BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 137 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN
This weekend, we’ve got a 14-fight card at Brazil. DraftKings has some adequate competitions available with this Fight Night card, and this is rare for these free ones. The principal tourney is an $8 entry and pays $20k to 1st. That is the main GPP I will be chasing this week. As always, I will be in the 3-entry max and only entry GPPs too. But this week DraftKings has two competitions for trips out to Vegas to see that the McGregor vs Khabib battle. Flight, hotel, and struggles all paid for. The floor chairs contest is a $33 entrance along with the non-floor seats contest is simply a $15 entry. I will have to take a few shots at that as well. Additionally, DraftKings simply released a contest for UFC 299 that is a $10 entry with a gigantic $100,000 to 1st place. That is unquestionably the biggest prize we have seen in DFS MMA, so let’s build a bankroll this weekend so we are able to take a few additional shots at that $100k. With that said, here are a Couple of plays I enjoy this week as well as my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of the week — Livia Renata Souza ($9,600)
Livia Souza is the strongest triumph on the card and I think she gets this battle ended early. This is where I’m starting my cash LUs weekly. Only give me the -1100 favorite who’s being fed an easy win here, for my cash games. I really do like a lot of the top favorites on this card, I simply are the most shocked if Souza lost. I think she is fine in both formats, but she will most likely be chalky in GPPs, therefore money games are the ideal place to get your Souza investment nowadays. Take this triumph, and then find others and you should be useful in cash games.
GPP play of this week — Charles Oliveira ($9,400)
I’m a large Charles”Do Bronx” Oliveira enthusiast, and he has a few of my own favorites submissions in UFC history. I believe we can see another awesome one here. This battle appears to be simple to call. Do Bronx will look for the early takedown and when he could get it then he likely gets a 1st round sub. If this happens he should lock up a solid 100 points and I am pretty confident in that being the outcome of the fight, so that is why he’s my GPP drama of the week. He’s also my GPP drama of the week, rather than my Cash play of this week for a reason. If he can’t get the takedown(s) early, then he’ll likely stop and get finished himself with strikes. I really don’t enjoy that danger of a reduced floor because of my own cash LU, therefore I favor Souza there. But in GPPs I enjoy saving the 200 and moving down to Do Bronx.
Underdog drama of this week — Eryk Anders ($7,600)
I would like Anders more if he was not carrying this fight on short notice, and when it wasn’t in Brazil. However he does have a clear route to victory here and that’s by knocking outside Santos who does not have a fantastic chin. Anders could also opt for takedowns in this struggle and he could win with some tough GNP too. At $7.6k he will almost surely wind up on the winning LU if he’s able to acquire the KO. This is the major event, so he will have 5 rounds to function with. I do think this is a solid matchup for Anders, but he must be aggressive and not hang out to the exterior. When he hangs out to the outside as long Santos will eat up him with kisses and it could be a short night for Anders. I will select him to get the win as an underdog in Brazil and I think he gets it completed in the first two rounds with a KO. That will easily pay off his $7.6k salary and it’ll win you a GPP if you can get your additional 5 spots right as well.
Fade of the week — Sam Alvey ($9,200)
Sam Alvey is always a fade for me. Last time I wrote him up as my fade of the week on here, I was very wrong and he scored over 100 points. Then so be it, if that happens here. However, I refuse to rely on an early KO win to cover off a 9.2k salary by a guy who doesn’t throw many strikes. At $9.2k I need at least 92 points out of Alvey when I roster him and the only real way get gets that is with a 1st round KO win. That could occur here against a 42-year-old Lil Nog, but I am not eager to spend my money in it.
If you would like my full-card DraftKings breakdown using analysis on each struggle, my personal strategies & recommendations, and my selection outlook for every single fight then you can find that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can go to this link below:
Read more: gosoccerbetting.com